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Rio Ave – Benfica

Primeira Liga · January 17, 2026

Rio Ave 0–2 Benfica

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Rio Ave 12% X · 18% 2 · Benfica 70%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Both teams to score47%
Expected goals0.77 – 2.17
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 11, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.