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Rio Ave – Casa Pia

Primeira Liga · February 11, 2024

Rio Ave 1–0 Casa Pia

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Rio Ave 48% X · 28% 2 · Casa Pia 24%
Over 2.5 goals35%
Both teams to score40%
Expected goals1.28 – 0.82
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 11, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.