Rio Ave – Estrela
Primeira Liga · September 14, 2026
Rio Ave
3–3
Estrela
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Rio Ave 46%
X · 26%
2 · Estrela 28%
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% |
| Both teams to score | 48% |
| Expected goals | 1.41 – 1.04 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
September 14, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.