Certor

Rio Ave – Guimaraes

Primeira Liga · December 13, 2025

Rio Ave 0–1 Guimaraes

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Rio Ave 34% X · 27% 2 · Guimaraes 39%
Over 2.5 goals43%
Both teams to score48%
Expected goals1.14 – 1.25
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 13, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.