Rio Ave – Moreirense
Primeira Liga · February 16, 2026
Rio Ave
1–2
Moreirense
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Rio Ave 40%
X · 27%
2 · Moreirense 33%
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% |
| Both teams to score | 48% |
| Expected goals | 1.26 – 1.12 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
February 15, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.