Certor

Rio Ave – Nacional

Primeira Liga · August 17, 2025

Rio Ave 1–1 Nacional

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Rio Ave 53% X · 25% 2 · Nacional 22%
Over 2.5 goals44%
Both teams to score46%
Expected goals1.54 – 0.89
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 15, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.