Certor

Rio Ave – Santa Clara

Primeira Liga · November 30, 2025

Rio Ave 1–1 Santa Clara

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Rio Ave 42% X · 28% 2 · Santa Clara 30%
Over 2.5 goals37%
Both teams to score43%
Expected goals1.20 – 0.97
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff November 28, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.