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Rio Ave – Tondela

Primeira Liga · October 5, 2025

Rio Ave 3–0 Tondela

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Rio Ave 52% X · 24% 2 · Tondela 24%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Both teams to score48%
Expected goals1.57 – 0.96
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 4, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.