Certor

Roma – Bologna

Serie A · April 22, 2024

Roma 1–3 Bologna

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Roma 52% X · 26% 2 · Bologna 22%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Both teams to score53%
Expected goals1.67 – 1.02
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 20, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.