Certor

Roma – Bologna

Serie A · August 23, 2025

Roma 1–0 Bologna

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Roma 45% X · 28% 2 · Bologna 27%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score53%
Expected goals1.49 – 1.11
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 23, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.