Certor

Roma – Empoli

Serie A · September 17, 2023

Roma 7–0 Empoli

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Roma 63% X · 22% 2 · Empoli 15%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Both teams to score50%
Expected goals1.99 – 0.87
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 16, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.