Certor

Roma – Fiorentina

Serie A · December 10, 2023

Roma 1–1 Fiorentina

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Roma 46% X · 27% 2 · Fiorentina 27%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score53%
Expected goals1.51 – 1.11
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 9, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.