Certor

Roma – Fiorentina

Serie A · May 4, 2025

Roma 1–0 Fiorentina

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Roma 42% X · 28% 2 · Fiorentina 30%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score54%
Expected goals1.45 – 1.20
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 4, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.