Roma – Fiorentina
Serie A · May 4, 2026
Roma
4–0
Fiorentina
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Roma 47%
X · 27%
2 · Fiorentina 26%
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Expected goals | 1.52 – 1.09 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
May 2, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.