Roma – Genoa
Serie A · December 29, 2025
Roma
3–1
Genoa
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Roma 56%
X · 26%
2 · Genoa 18%
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% |
| Both teams to score | 46% |
| Expected goals | 1.65 – 0.82 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
December 27, 2025.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.