Certor

Roma – Lazio

Serie A · January 5, 2025

Roma 2–0 Lazio

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Roma 39% X · 27% 2 · Lazio 34%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Both teams to score56%
Expected goals1.41 – 1.30
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 4, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.