Certor

Roma – Milan

Serie A · September 1, 2023

Roma 1–2 Milan

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Roma 38% X · 27% 2 · Milan 35%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Both teams to score56%
Expected goals1.38 – 1.32
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 26, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.