Certor

Roma – Monza

Serie A · February 24, 2025

Roma 4–0 Monza

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Roma 61% X · 24% 2 · Monza 15%
Over 2.5 goals47%
Both teams to score46%
Expected goals1.80 – 0.77
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 22, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.