Certor

Roma – Pisa

Serie A · April 10, 2026

Roma 3–0 Pisa

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Roma 66% X · 23% 2 · Pisa 11%
Over 2.5 goals44%
Both teams to score39%
Expected goals1.81 – 0.61
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 4, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.