Certor

Salernitana – Frosinone

Serie A · September 22, 2023

Salernitana 1–1 Frosinone

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Salernitana 45% X · 28% 2 · Frosinone 27%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Both teams to score51%
Expected goals1.45 – 1.07
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 16, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.