Certor

Salernitana – Genoa

Serie A · January 21, 2024

Salernitana 1–2 Genoa

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Salernitana 35% X · 29% 2 · Genoa 36%
Over 2.5 goals41%
Both teams to score48%
Expected goals1.15 – 1.17
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 20, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.