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Salernitana – Milan

Serie A · December 22, 2023

Salernitana 2–2 Milan

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Salernitana 14% X · 22% 2 · Milan 64%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Both teams to score49%
Expected goals0.83 – 1.98
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 16, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.