Certor

Salernitana – Napoli

Serie A · November 4, 2023

Salernitana 0–2 Napoli

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Salernitana 10% X · 18% 2 · Napoli 72%
Over 2.5 goals60%
Both teams to score49%
Expected goals0.76 – 2.32
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff November 4, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.