Certor

Samsunspor – Karagumruk

Süper Lig · September 21, 2025

Samsunspor 3–2 Karagumruk

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Samsunspor 51% X · 28% 2 · Karagumruk 21%
Over 2.5 goals44%
Both teams to score47%
Expected goals1.54 – 0.89
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 20, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.