Certor

Santa Clara – Gil Vicente

Primeira Liga · March 21, 2026

Santa Clara 1–0 Gil Vicente

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Santa Clara 37% X · 29% 2 · Gil Vicente 34%
Over 2.5 goals35%
Both teams to score42%
Expected goals1.08 – 1.01
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 15, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.