Certor

Santa Clara – Guimaraes

Primeira Liga · March 8, 2026

Santa Clara 2–0 Guimaraes

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Santa Clara 33% X · 29% 2 · Guimaraes 38%
Over 2.5 goals37%
Both teams to score43%
Expected goals1.03 – 1.13
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 8, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.