Certor

Santa Clara – Moreirense

Primeira Liga · August 17, 2025

Santa Clara 0–1 Moreirense

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Santa Clara 41% X · 28% 2 · Moreirense 31%
Over 2.5 goals36%
Both teams to score42%
Expected goals1.18 – 0.97
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 15, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.