Certor

Santa Clara – Nacional

Primeira Liga · May 11, 2026

Santa Clara 2–0 Nacional

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Santa Clara 46% X · 28% 2 · Nacional 26%
Over 2.5 goals36%
Both teams to score42%
Expected goals1.28 – 0.88
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 10, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.