Certor

Santa Clara – Porto

Primeira Liga · January 4, 2026

Santa Clara 0–1 Porto

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Santa Clara 13% X · 22% 2 · Porto 65%
Over 2.5 goals40%
Both teams to score36%
Expected goals0.59 – 1.70
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 3, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.