Certor

Santa Clara – Rio Ave

Primeira Liga · September 6, 2026

Santa Clara 4–0 Rio Ave

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Santa Clara 44% X · 28% 2 · Rio Ave 28%
Over 2.5 goals36%
Both teams to score42%
Expected goals1.23 – 0.91
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 6, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.