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Santander – Villarreal

La Liga · August 16, 2026

Santander 2–2 Villarreal

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Santander 25% X · 23% 2 · Villarreal 52%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Both teams to score58%
Expected goals1.19 – 1.81
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 16, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.