Certor

Sassuolo – Bologna

Serie A · March 15, 2026

Sassuolo 0–1 Bologna

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Sassuolo 33% X · 27% 2 · Bologna 40%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Both teams to score57%
Expected goals1.30 – 1.47
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 14, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.