Certor

Sassuolo – Fiorentina

Serie A · December 6, 2025

Sassuolo 3–1 Fiorentina

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Sassuolo 32% X · 27% 2 · Fiorentina 41%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Both teams to score59%
Expected goals1.35 – 1.53
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 6, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.