Certor

Sassuolo – Lazio

Serie A · September 14, 2025

Sassuolo 1–0 Lazio

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Sassuolo 28% X · 25% 2 · Lazio 47%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Both teams to score60%
Expected goals1.29 – 1.71
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 13, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.