Certor

Sassuolo – Milan

Serie A · April 14, 2024

Sassuolo 3–3 Milan

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Sassuolo 27% X · 24% 2 · Milan 49%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Both teams to score62%
Expected goals1.30 – 1.83
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 13, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.