Certor

Sassuolo – Milan

Serie A · May 3, 2026

Sassuolo 2–0 Milan

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Sassuolo 25% X · 24% 2 · Milan 51%
Over 2.5 goals57%
Both teams to score58%
Expected goals1.18 – 1.80
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 2, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.