Certor

Sassuolo – Parma

Serie A · January 3, 2026

Sassuolo 1–1 Parma

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Sassuolo 47% X · 26% 2 · Parma 27%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Both teams to score56%
Expected goals1.62 – 1.16
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 3, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.