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Schalke 04 – Mainz

Bundesliga · October 17, 2026

Schalke 04 0–1 Mainz

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Schalke 04 29% X · 28% 2 · Mainz 43%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score54%
Expected goals1.15 – 1.47
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 17, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.