Certor

Sevilla – Alaves

La Liga · February 14, 2026

Sevilla 1–1 Alaves

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Sevilla 47% X · 29% 2 · Alaves 24%
Over 2.5 goals38%
Both teams to score43%
Expected goals1.34 – 0.88
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 13, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.