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Sevilla – Ath Madrid

La Liga · August 29, 2026

Sevilla 1–3 Ath Madrid

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Sevilla 30% X · 27% 2 · Ath Madrid 43%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Both teams to score51%
Expected goals1.11 – 1.41
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 29, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.