Sociedad – Ath Madrid
La Liga · January 4, 2026
Sociedad
1–1
Ath Madrid
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Sociedad 29%
X · 28%
2 · Ath Madrid 43%
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% |
| Both teams to score | 46% |
| Expected goals | 1.01 – 1.30 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
January 2, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.