Certor

Sociedad – Barcelona

La Liga · January 18, 2026

Sociedad 2–1 Barcelona

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Sociedad 23% X · 23% 2 · Barcelona 54%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Both teams to score56%
Expected goals1.10 – 1.83
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 16, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.