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Sociedad – Vallecano

La Liga · October 5, 2025

Sociedad 0–1 Vallecano

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Sociedad 45% X · 29% 2 · Vallecano 26%
Over 2.5 goals39%
Both teams to score45%
Expected goals1.32 – 0.93
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 3, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.