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Sociedad – Villarreal

La Liga · November 30, 2025

Sociedad 2–3 Villarreal

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Sociedad 41% X · 26% 2 · Villarreal 33%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score53%
Expected goals1.40 – 1.22
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff November 28, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.