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Southampton – Crystal Palace

Premier League · April 2, 2025

Southampton 1–1 Crystal Palace

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Southampton 16% X · 22% 2 · Crystal Palace 62%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Both teams to score49%
Expected goals0.85 – 1.92
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 1, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.