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Southampton – Man United

Premier League · September 14, 2024

Southampton 0–3 Man United

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Southampton 29% X · 25% 2 · Man United 46%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Both teams to score56%
Expected goals1.20 – 1.58
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 14, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.