Certor

Sp Braga – Alverca

Primeira Liga · January 25, 2026

Sp Braga 5–0 Alverca

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Sp Braga 73% X · 16% 2 · Alverca 11%
Over 2.5 goals60%
Both teams to score48%
Expected goals2.34 – 0.77
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 25, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.