Sp Braga – Arouca
Primeira Liga · April 12, 2026
Sp Braga
1–0
Arouca
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Sp Braga 70%
X · 17%
2 · Arouca 13%
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% |
| Both teams to score | 53% |
| Expected goals | 2.35 – 0.88 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
April 10, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.