Certor

Sp Braga – Benfica

Primeira Liga · December 17, 2023

Sp Braga 0–1 Benfica

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Sp Braga 29% X · 23% 2 · Benfica 48%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Both teams to score57%
Expected goals1.23 – 1.65
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 15, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.