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Sp Braga – Benfica

Primeira Liga · December 28, 2025

Sp Braga 2–2 Benfica

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Sp Braga 27% X · 24% 2 · Benfica 49%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Both teams to score55%
Expected goals1.16 – 1.64
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 27, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.